In modern Canadian politics, it is rare for the government to fall after one term. There are no term limits on Canadian prime ministers; as such, except for the turmoil-filled 2000-06 Paul Martin administration, no Prime Minister has lost after his first term since Joe Clark in 1979. However,
polls continue to show a too close to call race between the LPC and CPC.
The Trudeau administration has been marred by a lack of experienced political staff, failure to deliver on key promises like electoral reform, multiple scandals involving ministers and MP's, the imposition of an unpopular carbon tax, and a relative failure to deliver on military and foreign policy aims. Trudeau's personal brand has also taken a huge hit, as he has been found guilty of violating the Conflict of Interest act by the independent ethics commissioner. Not only is he the first PM in Canadian history to be found guilty of violating this act, but he was found guilty twice - the first time for accepting a vacation and gifts from the Aga Khan, and the second time for his involvement in the
SNC-Lavalin scandal.
The latter scandal has been particularly damning for Trudeau, as two "star" cabinet members, including the first Aboriginal female Attorney General in Canadian history, resigned from cabinet in protest over his handling of the affair.