RE: EU "parliamentary" elections...
I predict the EU Council will ignore the Spitzenkandidat process and Manfred Weber will not become President of the EU Commission despite the EPP being the largest party. Why? Because he's a terrible candidate (they actually managed to find someone worse than Juncker), and the fact that France & Germany aren't keen on him means they'll probably block it (and we all know France and Germany decide everything). Plus there's the danger that the nationalists could be the biggest party next time round...