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The Lounge => Historical Discussion => Topic started by: Derps9 on June 06, 2018, 09:42:55 pm

Title: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Derps9 on June 06, 2018, 09:42:55 pm
Could Germany have won ww2??? Lets see what the community thinks  ;D
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Cazasar on June 06, 2018, 09:48:28 pm
No. The entire Eastern Campaign was the idea of a lunatic and completely doomed from the get go.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: William on June 06, 2018, 10:16:24 pm
Had Japan joined in then I believe that Germany could have easily won. The Siberian divisions were key to defending Moscow and were only sent there after Russian intelligence confirmed Japanese neutrality over the area. If Japan had contested further it is likely those divisions would have never arrived or arrived too late to defend Moscow.

That being said, even without the Japanese I still don't think they could win due to the stretch of supply lines and size of Russia.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Cazasar on June 06, 2018, 11:16:42 pm
Had Japan joined in then I believe that Germany could have easily won. The Siberian divisions were key to defending Moscow and were only sent there after Russian intelligence confirmed Japanese neutrality over the area. If Japan had contested further it is likely those divisions would have never arrived or arrived too late to defend Moscow.

That being said, even without the Japanese I still don't think they could win due to the stretch of supply lines and size of Russia.
What makes you think they could have easily taken moscow then? And what would that even achieve. Russia isnt france, its not a capture the flag game.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: William on June 06, 2018, 11:19:39 pm
Had Japan joined in then I believe that Germany could have easily won. The Siberian divisions were key to defending Moscow and were only sent there after Russian intelligence confirmed Japanese neutrality over the area. If Japan had contested further it is likely those divisions would have never arrived or arrived too late to defend Moscow.

That being said, even without the Japanese I still don't think they could win due to the stretch of supply lines and size of Russia.
What makes you think they could have easily taken moscow then? And what would that even achieve. Russia isnt france, its not a capture the flag game.
No, but Stalin was staying in Moscow as a show of support and strength. Had Moscow been overrun then it is presumable that the Soviet chain of command would have imploded or fragmented with his death or capture. The capture of Russia would have provided vital oil reserves to the Germans alongside huge agricultural yields. I'm not saying Moscow would be a total victory but it would definitely be a huge blow and potentially get a 'surrender' of some sorts.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Cazasar on June 06, 2018, 11:52:48 pm
You should watch this :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sbim2kGwhpc&t=1s
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: William on June 07, 2018, 01:16:37 am
After watching the video it more or less supports what my points are but I still think that a Germany with the soviet oil could have seriously crippled the Soviets.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXnkFd373T4
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Riddlez on June 07, 2018, 08:27:06 am
In the long run the Russians just had too many and the Germans too little too late. Russian tank production was faster than the Germans could destroy them, the Russians just had too many soldiers.

In the beginning of operation Barbarossa, Germany encircled and captured entire divisions, at points 80.000 and 128.000 troops at once. Sounds good? Yeah it SOUNDS good, but they weren't even strategic victories... those kind of numbers meant next to nothing to the Russians.

In 1941 the Germans had close to 4 million (3.767 million) people in the eastern theatre againstthe Russian army at its weakest point. The Russians had almost 3 million people then. For a viable attack - defender ration it is commonly spoken of a 3:1 ratio. The Germans didn't have close to that. (To compare, after day one during Operation Overlord, the allies had a 3:1 to 5:1 and later 10:1 superiority in Normandy). keep in mind that the Russians still had 14 million reservists at that point (former conscripts, so already had military training).

In 1943 the Germans were up to 3.9 million. The Russians by then had 6.7 million and some 10 milion more reserve. Was manpower any problem? Nah, it was more of a problem to equip all those men. Germany never stood a chance. Not with the depth of the Russian country.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Blaze on June 07, 2018, 03:40:36 pm
If Hitler had never declared war on Russia (or actually prepared for the winters) he would've been able to hold Europe, however, he thought that by invading in Summer of 1941 he could take Moscow by October that same year yes he may have come extremely close, (pounding Moscow with shells) however, if he had kept eyes on Russia but not invaded then D-Day would've been a different story.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Cazasar on June 07, 2018, 03:45:35 pm
You didnt read the Thread hm?
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Riddlez on June 07, 2018, 05:23:45 pm
he may have come extremely close, (pounding Moscow with shells)

By your logic England was close to falling because Germany bombed London
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Blaze on June 07, 2018, 10:04:26 pm
he may have come extremely close, (pounding Moscow with shells)

By your logic England was close to falling because Germany bombed London

As the German armies swept further into the Russian heartland, one million Soviet troops were drafted to protect Kiev. But despite Stalin's ruthless order forbidding any city to surrender, Kiev fell and 600,000 Soviet soldiers were captured. By October 1941, three million Soviet soldiers were prisoners of war. New testimony and documentary evidence can now reveal that Stalin was seriously considering suing for peace and had even organised a 'getaway' train to take him to safety as German guns started pounding Moscow. His decision to stay and fight was a crucial turning point in the war.

The difference between UK and Russia, is Russia didn't expect it and where getting legit "bumed"
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: William on June 07, 2018, 10:13:37 pm
I'm with Blaze on this. Stalin ruled Russia through fear so if he is killed or captured I think it might have a drastic impact on the war effort for the Soviets and lead to mass desertion or at the very least a power struggle among the leadership which could cripple the war effort for them. I feel it's possible you get warlord circumstances in that scenario.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Kore on June 07, 2018, 11:52:04 pm
Capturing Moscow would not mean an immediate defeat for the Russians, sure, it would hurt the regime, as well as capturing Stalingrad, but Russia would not capitulate with its comeback potential (numbers, Ural)
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Lightning. on June 08, 2018, 12:09:41 am
No. The entire Eastern Campaign was the idea of a lunatic and completely doomed from the get go.

True
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Blaze on June 08, 2018, 11:51:10 pm
Capturing Moscow would not mean an immediate defeat for the Russians, sure, it would hurt the regime, as well as capturing Stalingrad, but Russia would not capitulate with its comeback potential (numbers, Ural)

True but, it'd put the Russians on a major setback and loss of morale
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Duuring on June 11, 2018, 11:46:31 am
If Hitler had made better use of captured Soviet manpower, perhaps.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: William on June 11, 2018, 08:32:57 pm
I tested this in HOI4 with Japanese help and it didn't make much of a difference, I still lost as Germany. Japanese simply couldn't get through the Soviet-Mongolian line and my offensive stalled out.

You heard it here boys, proven by conclusive scientific data.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Suns on June 16, 2018, 10:53:17 pm
I tested this in HOI4 with Japanese help and it didn't make much of a difference, I still lost as Germany. Japanese simply couldn't get through the Soviet-Mongolian line and my offensive stalled out.

You heard it here boys, proven by conclusive scientific data.

:/ ive beaten the soviets multiple times in 1941 without japanese or italian or romanian or any axis powers help on the eastern front on the hardest difficulty that isn't conclusive scientific data LOL

hitler could've done a lot of things, labeling the assault as the "liberation of ukraine" would've certainly brought many to the german side usage of captured manpower such as putting them into Andrey Vlasov's liberation army would have also helped

hitler wasn't aware from his generals the army had to resupply every 800km~, he just kept pushing forward

not securing moscow and instead encircling Kiev was also a big mistake, taking moscow would've hurt morale severely

emphasis on pushing southeast to the Baku oil fields would have helped resourceswise

hitler didn't use the immense mustard gas armory the germans had at the time either

hitler didnt listen to his generals and instead believed he could command and set up lines by himself (failure)

many things, russia could've fell their numbers were large but would eventually become obsolete if morale fell
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: [13thRSC] Beno on September 18, 2018, 07:32:29 pm
Maybe if the other allied had oppended up an western one.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: StevenChilton on September 18, 2018, 07:59:19 pm
Could Germany have won WWII?

Yes, very easily. If they'd not allowed the British to escape at Dunkirk then Churchill would have sued for peace in 1940. The Eastern campaign would have been a walk in the park as a result.

Germany came very close to beating the Soviets in the East too. Hitler knew he needed a quick, psychological victory and he almost got one-had Moscow or perhaps only Stalingrad fallen then the Soviet state would have collapsed.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Ted on September 18, 2018, 08:02:37 pm
not securing moscow and instead encircling Kiev was also a big mistake, taking moscow would've hurt morale severely

(https://hpd.de/sites/hpd.de/files/styles/head_crop_autoreuse/public/field/image/napoleon_zu_pferde.jpg?itok=_q-EhB0V&c=f608e01452449aa92ecf822693e9ad10)

This man disagrees.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Sleepy on September 18, 2018, 09:53:34 pm
not securing moscow and instead encircling Kiev was also a big mistake, taking moscow would've hurt morale severely

(https://hpd.de/sites/hpd.de/files/styles/head_crop_autoreuse/public/field/image/napoleon_zu_pferde.jpg?itok=_q-EhB0V&c=f608e01452449aa92ecf822693e9ad10)

This man disagrees.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Harman on September 19, 2018, 01:59:11 am
If the italians hadn't been such Untermenschen and botched the invasion of greece and hitler had waited to invade yugoslavia. Then barbarossa would've gone ahead earlierand they would've had more time to complete their objectives and might have won the war.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Ambiguous on September 19, 2018, 09:36:46 am
If the italians hadn't been such Untermenschen and botched the invasion of greece and hitler had waited to invade yugoslavia. Then barbarossa would've gone ahead earlierand they would've had more time to complete their objectives and might have won the war.
nah man, Hitler's army was overstretched, and it didn't help that they were the only competent army in the entirety of the Axis forces.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: vanKliff on September 19, 2018, 10:01:44 am
No. The entire Eastern Campaign was the idea of a lunatic and completely doomed from the get go.


Wtf Caz, read to much american history books by the historical view of logistic fuck ups like Halder etc.? Whole point of the eastern campaign was to secure the oilfields in the southern area south of Stalingrad. Just Hitlers Generals were so ridicliously stupid to think that the taking of moscow would capitulate the UdssR and were constantly putting reenforcements to Herresgruppe Nord and Mitte, not to the South.

Stalin on the other hand was too smart for that move and just burned them fields down as soon as german forces got close to the area. He got to win the war with american importoil, powering his massive armoured forces and give them germans a push back to the Vaterland.


OF COURSE FORGET TO MENTION THE MAJOR OIL CRISIS GERMANY HAD TO GO THROUGH during the war. by 1941 already a process of demobilisation in the case of armoured forces would go on in germany, caused by the massive oil problems. (Switching armoured/mechanized Infantry with horses, using horses to pull arty and AT, AA guns etc.)
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Ambiguous on September 19, 2018, 11:20:23 am
No. The entire Eastern Campaign was the idea of a lunatic and completely doomed from the get go.


Wtf Caz, read to much american history books by the historical view of logistic fuck ups like Halder etc.? Whole point of the eastern campaign was to secure the oilfields in the southern area south of Stalingrad. Just Hitlers Generals were so ridicliously stupid to think that the taking of moscow would capitulate the UdssR and were constantly putting reenforcements to Herresgruppe Nord and Mitte, not to the South.

Stalin on the other hand was too smart for that move and just burned them fields down as soon as german forces got close to the area. He got to win the war with american importoil, powering his massive armoured forces and give them germans a push back to the Vaterland.


OF COURSE FORGET TO MENTION THE MAJOR OIL CRISIS GERMANY HAD TO GO THROUGH during the war. by 1941 already a process of demobilisation in the case of armoured forces would go on in germany, caused by the massive oil problems. (Switching armoured/mechanized Infantry with horses, using horses to pull arty and AT, AA guns etc.)
nazi bad commie good
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Cazasar on September 19, 2018, 03:20:42 pm
No. The entire Eastern Campaign was the idea of a lunatic and completely doomed from the get go.


Wtf Caz, read to much american history books by the historical view of logistic fuck ups like Halder etc.? Whole point of the eastern campaign was to secure the oilfields in the southern area south of Stalingrad. Just Hitlers Generals were so ridicliously stupid to think that the taking of moscow would capitulate the UdssR and were constantly putting reenforcements to Herresgruppe Nord and Mitte, not to the South.

Stalin on the other hand was too smart for that move and just burned them fields down as soon as german forces got close to the area. He got to win the war with american importoil, powering his massive armoured forces and give them germans a push back to the Vaterland.


OF COURSE FORGET TO MENTION THE MAJOR OIL CRISIS GERMANY HAD TO GO THROUGH during the war. by 1941 already a process of demobilisation in the case of armoured forces would go on in germany, caused by the massive oil problems. (Switching armoured/mechanized Infantry with horses, using horses to pull arty and AT, AA guns etc.)

you say im wrong and then you write a paragraph that proofs my point. What a twist
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Ambiguous on September 19, 2018, 03:31:17 pm
No. The entire Eastern Campaign was the idea of a lunatic and completely doomed from the get go.


Wtf Caz, read to much american history books by the historical view of logistic fuck ups like Halder etc.? Whole point of the eastern campaign was to secure the oilfields in the southern area south of Stalingrad. Just Hitlers Generals were so ridicliously stupid to think that the taking of moscow would capitulate the UdssR and were constantly putting reenforcements to Herresgruppe Nord and Mitte, not to the South.

Stalin on the other hand was too smart for that move and just burned them fields down as soon as german forces got close to the area. He got to win the war with american importoil, powering his massive armoured forces and give them germans a push back to the Vaterland.


OF COURSE FORGET TO MENTION THE MAJOR OIL CRISIS GERMANY HAD TO GO THROUGH during the war. by 1941 already a process of demobilisation in the case of armoured forces would go on in germany, caused by the massive oil problems. (Switching armoured/mechanized Infantry with horses, using horses to pull arty and AT, AA guns etc.)

you say im wrong and then you write a paragraph that proofs my point. What a twist
I think that he's implying that if Germany had stocked up on oil a bit more that the war against the soviet union would have been successful.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Cazasar on September 19, 2018, 03:31:58 pm
I will repost this Video until eternity
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sbim2kGwhpc
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: vanKliff on September 19, 2018, 05:52:34 pm
The point was, that the entire eastern campaign, designed by Hitler had a worthful purpose, not that it was a lunatic attempt to wipe out bolshevism as said by stupid german generals after the war, building uppon their memoires (btw incompetent german generals who surrendernd to the west). Paulus himself was against striking eastern at first because HE WAS a competant logistic master and saw that it was a madmans plan to fall into the UdssR in closed front, more then 800km . If the gernerals would have followed the ground points of the eastern campaign accordingly to Hitlers goals, the eastern gamble would have paid of IMO. NOT TO SAY THAT THAT WOULD BE A GOOD THING. Point is, german high command were morons, Hitlers points to attack Russia were right.

There was no other way to produce enough Airplanes, U-Boots and Tanks with the ressources germany had by the middle of 1941, to end Britian and the Allies. And after the USA joined the War in late 41, getting the Oil was a thing of survival against allied superioty.

So if generals would have just defended northern and centre russian front after Nov 41 and focused striking south as Hilter later did when he take over command (too late tho) Operation Barberossa would have paid of and would at least delayed Germanys defeat to the late 40s.

Still Probs to those poor men fighting at Stalingrad for both sides, surely the battlefield closest to hell in the 1940s
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Sgt.Winters on September 19, 2018, 06:27:36 pm
Stalin was batshit insane.  He would not have surrendered even if the whole country was subjugated and the remaining troops forced to conduct extensive guerrilla warfare.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Riddlez on September 19, 2018, 06:59:30 pm
Stalin really didn't suffer that much strategic defeats in the war... I mean... I was able to continue large-scale operations and grind down the Germans... sure the Germans captured tens of thousands of soviet troops and even 115k once... but those really weren't terrible losses for the soviets...
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: William on September 19, 2018, 07:47:01 pm
but what if Germany had nukes? Would you still give the edge to Russia?
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Sgt.Winters on September 19, 2018, 07:56:00 pm
but what if Germany had nukes? Would you still give the edge to Russia?
They would have won, but considering the "rather" anti-semetic tone in Germany at the time, dis shit be a pipe dream yo.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: StevenChilton on September 20, 2018, 12:13:45 am
Stalin was batshit insane.  He would not have surrendered even if the whole country was subjugated and the remaining troops forced to conduct extensive guerrilla warfare.

The Politburo came close to removing him in the Summer of 1941 (he probably had a mental breakdown), and had Stalingrad or Moscow fallen he'd have been out for sure. So whether he'd have fought on or not doesn't really matter.

Stalin really didn't suffer that much strategic defeats in the war... I mean... I was able to continue large-scale operations and grind down the Germans... sure the Germans captured tens of thousands of soviet troops and even 115k once... but those really weren't terrible losses for the soviets...
.

Stalin lost most of Ukraine and the Baltics. When Kiev fell 600,000 Soviet troops were killed or captured which was around a fifth of the Soviet army at the time. USSR was one defeat away from collapse in 1941/1942.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Sgt.Winters on September 20, 2018, 12:26:19 am
It’s plausible that Germany could have won the theatre, but holding a firm grasp on the USSR would surely have been near impossible.

Also I wouldn’t be surprised if Joseph blew a gasket everytime a Soviet army was encircled.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: junedragon on September 20, 2018, 01:37:11 am
Best real chance for Germany imo would have been if they could convince Turkey to join and invade from the south while they pushed on Stalingrad and Moscow, simultaneously:

A) providing a direct route of attack into the caucasus and the essential soviet oil fields of Azerbaijan

B) cutting off/rerouting the Lend Lease provided line of supply to the USSR (through Iran and the caucasus)

If Japan was able to attack too I dont see the USSR being able to withstand on 3 fronts with a large portion of their oil resources destroyed/seized and little to no material support from the US.

This is still a stretch imo.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: StevenChilton on September 20, 2018, 01:53:09 am
It’s plausible that Germany could have won the theatre, but holding a firm grasp on the USSR would surely have been near impossible.

Far from impossible. The Soviet population and industrial capacity was heavily concentrated West of the Urals (essentially 'European Russia' and Ukraine). Once you hold that then you don't really need to go any further.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Riddlez on September 20, 2018, 01:35:48 pm
It’s plausible that Germany could have won the theatre, but holding a firm grasp on the USSR would surely have been near impossible.

Far from impossible. The Soviet population and industrial capacity was heavily concentrated West of the Urals (essentially 'European Russia' and Ukraine). Once you hold that then you don't really need to go any further.

You'd need an occupation force that would need to be larger than the ininvasion force if you would stop there.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: StevenChilton on September 20, 2018, 03:41:06 pm
That makes no sense, and they occupied France with c.100,000 men.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Riddlez on September 20, 2018, 04:35:23 pm

Far from impossible. The Soviet population and industrial capacity was heavily concentrated West of the Urals (essentially 'European Russia' and Ukraine). Once you hold that then you don't really need to go any further.


You'd need not continue further than that for all the resources... France was completely beaten and surrendered. Russia could still use guerilla warfare or unconventional means to harass the germans, especially if the Russians would still have land to lvie from. It would become a living hell for the Germans and they'd need a huge stabalization force to keep such attacks from happening.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: StevenChilton on September 20, 2018, 07:07:25 pm

Far from impossible. The Soviet population and industrial capacity was heavily concentrated West of the Urals (essentially 'European Russia' and Ukraine). Once you hold that then you don't really need to go any further.


You'd need not continue further than that for all the resources... France was completely beaten and surrendered. Russia could still use guerilla warfare or unconventional means to harass the germans, especially if the Russians would still have land to lvie from. It would become a living hell for the Germans and they'd need a huge stabalization force to keep such attacks from happening.

You're assuming the Germans would have personally occupied everything from the Polish border to the Urals. That's not how they did it in WWI after Brest-Litovsk nor how they did it in France. It's very simple: you occupy the valuable bits and set up satellite states over the rest.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Ted on September 20, 2018, 08:43:56 pm

Far from impossible. The Soviet population and industrial capacity was heavily concentrated West of the Urals (essentially 'European Russia' and Ukraine). Once you hold that then you don't really need to go any further.


You'd need not continue further than that for all the resources... France was completely beaten and surrendered. Russia could still use guerilla warfare or unconventional means to harass the germans, especially if the Russians would still have land to lvie from. It would become a living hell for the Germans and they'd need a huge stabalization force to keep such attacks from happening.

You're assuming the Germans would have personally occupied everything from the Polish border to the Urals. That's not how they did it in WWI after Brest-Litovsk nor how they did it in France. It's very simple: you occupy the valuable bits and set up satellite states over the rest.

Dear failed leaders of mankind,
please follow this armchair advice brought to you by some random goy in an online forum when trying to form another global empire. Just make satellite states, whats so hard about it? I mean, you only need to click "vassalize country" and everything is going to be fine!
Love,
your mom.


I mean..... that what this man

(https://hpd.de/sites/hpd.de/files/styles/head_crop_autoreuse/public/field/image/napoleon_zu_pferde.jpg?itok=_q-EhB0V&c=f608e01452449aa92ecf822693e9ad10)

did to Spain, and it totally worked! Tremendous!

Let's just keep comparing Brest-Litovsk which was based on a revolution within Russia itself to another war where an enemy from the outside basically united a whole country by murdering its citizens in the millions.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: StevenChilton on September 20, 2018, 10:04:47 pm
What an intelligent comment.

I'm sure the fact the Soviets did the exact same thing in Eastern/Central Europe post-1945 is irrelevant too.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: vanKliff on September 20, 2018, 11:04:48 pm
What an intelligent comment.

I'm sure the fact the Soviets did the exact same thing in Eastern/Central Europe post-1945 is irrelevant too.

... Axis (aka german) capabilitys vs Sovjets.... worn out by war and streeching for the last scraps of metall and fuel, mainly able to hold on through forced labour and brilliant thinkers vs Ressourceful nation in goods and people, supported by allies until 45 but also able to hold on through forced labour and brilliant thinkers hmmm...
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Duuring on September 20, 2018, 11:10:55 pm
StevenChilton is right, and I don't say that often : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lokot_Autonomy

The Germans recruited MILLIONS of soviet citizens and that's when Hitler didn't even really want to and they opposed and fought the Nationalist movements like in Ukraine.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Harman on September 21, 2018, 02:13:51 am
They weren't really satellite states, they were districts, which were part of the greater Reich which were lead by the indigenous people and supervised by party members (nazis). The occupation of Russia would have, like StevenChilton said consisted of the garrisoning of major cities and strategic points. The notion that a guerilla war would happen is viable, but not for long. The fighters would soon realise that they are fighting for no end result.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: junedragon on September 21, 2018, 05:52:29 pm
Spoiler

Far from impossible. The Soviet population and industrial capacity was heavily concentrated West of the Urals (essentially 'European Russia' and Ukraine). Once you hold that then you don't really need to go any further.


You'd need not continue further than that for all the resources... France was completely beaten and surrendered. Russia could still use guerilla warfare or unconventional means to harass the germans, especially if the Russians would still have land to lvie from. It would become a living hell for the Germans and they'd need a huge stabalization force to keep such attacks from happening.

You're assuming the Germans would have personally occupied everything from the Polish border to the Urals. That's not how they did it in WWI after Brest-Litovsk nor how they did it in France. It's very simple: you occupy the valuable bits and set up satellite states over the rest.

Dear failed leaders of mankind,
please follow this armchair advice brought to you by some random goy in an online forum when trying to form another global empire. Just make satellite states, whats so hard about it? I mean, you only need to click "vassalize country" and everything is going to be fine!
Love,
your mom.


I mean..... that what this man

(https://hpd.de/sites/hpd.de/files/styles/head_crop_autoreuse/public/field/image/napoleon_zu_pferde.jpg?itok=_q-EhB0V&c=f608e01452449aa92ecf822693e9ad10)

did to Spain, and it totally worked! Tremendous!

Let's just keep comparing Brest-Litovsk which was based on a revolution within Russia itself to another war where an enemy from the outside basically united a whole country by murdering its citizens in the millions.
[close]
Nothing like accusing someone else of making a faulty comparison then comparing a potential Nazi occupation of the USSR territory to Napoleon's occupation of Spain. 130 years of technological development (big difference between covering distance with forced marches and horses vs trains/tanks/vehicles, fighting insurgents with musket/sword armed patrols vs sophisticated aircraft, etc.) and radically different circumstances (notably direct British support for Spanish insurgency, millions of people in soviet regions who hated the Party as much as the Nazis did,  and nepotism leading to incompetent people vaguely related to Napoleon being placed in leadership positions in Spain).
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: DrunkenSpartan on September 21, 2018, 08:35:11 pm
No, impossible.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Conway on September 25, 2018, 08:20:33 pm
If it was a one front war there is a chance they could have one? But not likely even then.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: AeroNinja on September 25, 2018, 10:58:31 pm
Well Poland was eastern of them.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: junedragon on September 26, 2018, 01:45:25 am
If it was a one front war there is a chance they could have one? But not likely even then.

If Germany invades the USSR instead of France in early spring of 1939/1940 and everyone else allows them to do so, von Manstein, Guderian, and Rommel are drinking celebratory vodka shots in Moscow's Kremlin within half a year.

If they invade at 1941 strength ditto but within 2-3 months

Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: vanKliff on September 26, 2018, 08:37:14 am
wtf is this men talking about??? Even in 39 Germany couldn´t refuel his armoured forces properly... but YEAH LET´s go all EAST BOYZ, while British Expedetion Force and the whole french army are setting in your neck. Freakin Wehraboos, the Wehrmacht was successesful cause they fought like mad helldogs, (for expample officers like Major Bach i in the Deutsches Afrikakorps and used things like Panzerschokolode (amphetamin) to make those Blitzkrieg Pushes possible.

Nazigermany was good in dashing strikes, not ongoing tactial warfare (see Battle of Britain, Eastern Front, Africacampaign) 
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: DrunkenSpartan on September 26, 2018, 09:10:06 am
and everyone else allows them to do so

Reasonably plausible. We can see from these excerpts that the United States had, even then, a deep distrust of the Soviet Union, and that as late as September 1938 Britain and France were willing to do almost anything to avoid military conflict with Germany.

"The Soviet occupation of eastern Poland in September and the “Winter War” against Finland in December led President Franklin Roosevelt to condemn the Soviet Union publicly as a “dictatorship as absolute as any other dictatorship in the world,” and to impose a “moral embargo” on the export of certain products to the Soviets." - U.S.-Soviet Alliance, 1941–1945. Office of the Historian, U.S. Department of State.

"As Hitler continued to make inflammatory speeches demanding that Germans in Czechoslovakia be reunited with their homeland, war seemed imminent. Neither France nor Britain felt prepared to defend Czechoslovakia, however, and both were anxious to avoid a military confrontation with Germany at almost any cost. " -Munich Agreement, Encyclopaedia Britannica



von Manstein, Guderian, and Rommel are drinking celebratory vodka shots in Moscow's Kremlin within half a year.

Unlikely. German intelligence heavily underestimated the reserves available to the Soviet Union. Barbarossa was based around an assumption that in addition to the roughly 150 divisions available to the Soviets, only 50 divisions of reserves could be mobilized. In reality several hundred divisions worth of reserves were available to the Soviets.


"German intelligence failures played a large part [in the failure of Operation Barbarossa] on several levels. The Red Army had been viewed with distain, especially because Stalin’s purges of the late 1930s had removed thousands of its officers - albeit temporarily in most cases. Its poor performance against the Finns in the winter of 1939-1940 also encouraged the Germans. Soviet industry was deemed incapable of producing modern weapons. Most importantly, Russian troop numbers and fighting strength were continually underestimated, so that despite the losses inflicted in early encirclement battles, the Germans always faced yet more reinforcements. The High Command had only considered the Soviet western army groups in their planning, and the presence of reserve forces and uncommitted formations in the Russian interior or on the eastern borders were disregarded. Even after Operation 'Typhoon' ground to a halt in early December, the Germans still chose to believe that the Soviets had nothing left to stage a counterattack." -Senior Curator Ian Carter, "Operation 'Barbarossa' And Germany's Failure In The Soviet Union", writing for the Imperial War Museum

This erroneous assumption of a weaker Soviet Union was a major variable in the equation of Barbarossa. The goal of establishing the A-A Line and the dilution of German strength on the Eastern front can in some part be attributed to this faulty intelligence. The German High Command planned Barbarossa as a short-term campaign and assumed Soviet resistance would always be below par. This assumption allowed for generous distribution of troops along the Eastern front. Without significant troop concentration and facing the prospect of an 1800 mile front, the Wehrmacht was fighting an uphill battle from day one.


The German leadership continued to underestimate their foe in the East and place far too much confidence in their own capabilities well into 1942.

"There were daily quarrels all summer. The point upon which we had our final disagreement was the decision of an offensive on the Caucasus and Stalingrad - a mistake, and Hitler didn't want to see it. I told him the Russians would put in another million men in 1942 and get another million in 1943. Hitler told me that I was an idiot - that the Russians were practically dead already. When I told Hitler about Russian armament potentials, especially for tank materials, Hitler flew into a rage of fury and threatened me with his fists. " - Franz Halder, "The Nuremberg Interviews"


Of course other variables such as the weather, logistics, oil production, morale, and treatment of the local population by the occupant Wehrmacht should all be taken into account when forming an opinion on whether or not the German armed forces could have won in the East. In my opinion however, any tactical advantages gained by favorable adjustment of those additional variables is dashed by the simplest of mistakes; the Germans, like much of the rest of the world during that time, underestimated their opponent.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Nero_ on September 26, 2018, 01:53:43 pm
k
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: AeroNinja on September 28, 2018, 09:50:41 pm
Spoiler
and everyone else allows them to do so

Reasonably plausible. We can see from these excerpts that the United States had, even then, a deep distrust of the Soviet Union, and that as late as September 1938 Britain and France were willing to do almost anything to avoid military conflict with Germany.

"The Soviet occupation of eastern Poland in September and the “Winter War” against Finland in December led President Franklin Roosevelt to condemn the Soviet Union publicly as a “dictatorship as absolute as any other dictatorship in the world,” and to impose a “moral embargo” on the export of certain products to the Soviets." - U.S.-Soviet Alliance, 1941–1945. Office of the Historian, U.S. Department of State.

"As Hitler continued to make inflammatory speeches demanding that Germans in Czechoslovakia be reunited with their homeland, war seemed imminent. Neither France nor Britain felt prepared to defend Czechoslovakia, however, and both were anxious to avoid a military confrontation with Germany at almost any cost. " -Munich Agreement, Encyclopaedia Britannica



von Manstein, Guderian, and Rommel are drinking celebratory vodka shots in Moscow's Kremlin within half a year.

Unlikely. German intelligence heavily underestimated the reserves available to the Soviet Union. Barbarossa was based around an assumption that in addition to the roughly 150 divisions available to the Soviets, only 50 divisions of reserves could be mobilized. In reality several hundred divisions worth of reserves were available to the Soviets.


"German intelligence failures played a large part [in the failure of Operation Barbarossa] on several levels. The Red Army had been viewed with distain, especially because Stalin’s purges of the late 1930s had removed thousands of its officers - albeit temporarily in most cases. Its poor performance against the Finns in the winter of 1939-1940 also encouraged the Germans. Soviet industry was deemed incapable of producing modern weapons. Most importantly, Russian troop numbers and fighting strength were continually underestimated, so that despite the losses inflicted in early encirclement battles, the Germans always faced yet more reinforcements. The High Command had only considered the Soviet western army groups in their planning, and the presence of reserve forces and uncommitted formations in the Russian interior or on the eastern borders were disregarded. Even after Operation 'Typhoon' ground to a halt in early December, the Germans still chose to believe that the Soviets had nothing left to stage a counterattack." -Senior Curator Ian Carter, "Operation 'Barbarossa' And Germany's Failure In The Soviet Union", writing for the Imperial War Museum

This erroneous assumption of a weaker Soviet Union was a major variable in the equation of Barbarossa. The goal of establishing the A-A Line and the dilution of German strength on the Eastern front can in some part be attributed to this faulty intelligence. The German High Command planned Barbarossa as a short-term campaign and assumed Soviet resistance would always be below par. This assumption allowed for generous distribution of troops along the Eastern front. Without significant troop concentration and facing the prospect of an 1800 mile front, the Wehrmacht was fighting an uphill battle from day one.


The German leadership continued to underestimate their foe in the East and place far too much confidence in their own capabilities well into 1942.

"There were daily quarrels all summer. The point upon which we had our final disagreement was the decision of an offensive on the Caucasus and Stalingrad - a mistake, and Hitler didn't want to see it. I told him the Russians would put in another million men in 1942 and get another million in 1943. Hitler told me that I was an idiot - that the Russians were practically dead already. When I told Hitler about Russian armament potentials, especially for tank materials, Hitler flew into a rage of fury and threatened me with his fists. " - Franz Halder, "The Nuremberg Interviews"


Of course other variables such as the weather, logistics, oil production, morale, and treatment of the local population by the occupant Wehrmacht should all be taken into account when forming an opinion on whether or not the German armed forces could have won in the East. In my opinion however, any tactical advantages gained by favorable adjustment of those additional variables is dashed by the simplest of mistakes; the Germans, like much of the rest of the world during that time, underestimated their opponent.
[close]
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Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: vanKliff on September 28, 2018, 11:15:51 pm
Can we agree that Spartan killed this thread?
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: Big Pete on March 19, 2019, 07:40:55 am
Germany could win WWII. Just don't declare on Russia and focus on Africa get to Syria and Kuwait and you got oils for days buddy.
Title: Re: Could Germany have won on the eastern front?
Post by: sirkaide on March 20, 2019, 10:19:13 am
Could Germany have won WWII?

Yes, very easily. If they'd not allowed the British to escape at Dunkirk then Churchill would have sued for peace in 1940. The Eastern campaign would have been a walk in the park as a result.

Germany came very close to beating the Soviets in the East too. Hitler knew he needed a quick, psychological victory and he almost got one-had Moscow or perhaps only Stalingrad fallen then the Soviet state would have collapsed.

Churchill and the British government never would of agreed to peace like Vichy France. France lost the political will. There goverment lost unity and whether to accept a peace or fight on. This wasn’t the case with the British who have a Royal Family. The King and only the King can command the Armies and goverments of the Empire. The Dutch continued the fight in the name of their monarch too.Dunkirk only occurred because the French goverment mass-resigned. Otherwise two million Frenchmen were ready to continue the fight.

The betrayal of the Vichy French cannot be glossed over. After WW2  many Vichy French goverment officials were executed on treason charges by the Free French.

At Dunkirk many thousands of French soldiers escaped with British forces, only to be repatirated days later because France signed a peace deal with Germany. The British left thousands of their soldiers behind to save French soldiers on to the ships, for them to surrender days later.

If the French has fought on or given their ships to the British, then there wouldn’t of been a war with Japan as they couldn’t of risked a war against two of the greatest navies. The Italians would of been nonced out of the Med too. Shame the French surrendered.

The Germans practically had no navy, and the Brits still had over a million men under arms across the Empire. The Brits always knew the Americans would come eventually. The Germans had too few landing craft and the airforce was unable to win the Battle of Britain. Thus, land armies meant little in the air.

Canada, Australia and the Royal Navy (largest in the world at the time) would not of sat back and allowed Britain to become a vassal state of the Riech.

Nazi Germany only option was to bomb Britain and force them into a peace. This failed. Operation Sea Lion was a waste of time with no hope of success. The Canadians divisions could of been called upon to defend the Island in the event of a quick attack by German forces - the BEF needed re-mobileisation. The African Campaign shown the Brits to be the tough cookies. As they destroyed the Italian Armies and beat the Germans back into Tunsia. The North African campaign was all but over by the times the Americans arrived.

Many British people at the time seen WW2 to being similar to the Napoleonic Wars, whereby the whole of Europe fought against the Brits. Staying in the fight and holding your nerve is key to the British Empire history. Our Island is our fortresses.


People underestimate Dunkirk, not because of the men that could of been lost or were lost. Rather the amount of resources left behind. Ridiculous amount of ammo, fuel, heavy artillery, food etc. The British left like 22,000 vehicles. All of Britain’s rifles and machine guns were left too. This resulted in the British making the Famous Steg Gun. Which was the AK47 of the 40s and 50s. Very easy to make and cheap. This was mass-produced to give the Brits a sub-machine fun. A very poor weapon when compared to the famous Thomas Sub Machine gun.

The British were the only full motorised Army in 1939. The Germans still had cav that rode horses into battle and were heavily dependent on horses for transport. The Germany Army nearly killed the entire population of Europe’s horses, and stolen all the cars in the occupied countries. Germany never had a fully mechanised army.  What they did do was combine fast light/med tanks with close air support and mobile infantry. However Blitzkrieg ended in 1940. The Germans were unable to replace their loses. Most of the equipment left by the British at Dunkirk was re used by the Germans in Russia.