Canadian election update:
Projections show it to be MAD close
Liberals stopped the bleeding but they lost some ground, English debates will make things clearer - but also people don't really watch the debates so idk
NDP still projected for a seat increase, they've done well
Bloc set to maintain their hold on rural QC, altho CPC looking to flip a few
Like all CDN elections, it'll come down to GTA toss-ups, key Atlantic seats, and BC suburbs
also I must say, Canada is frighteningly regional in its politics. Americans and Europeans complain about this as well generally but in CA it's kinda insane. CPC swept two whole provinces last election and managed merely opposition. Quebec, BC and the Maritimes are not too politically regionalized but in the rest of Canada geography essentially dictates voting intentions and that's frankly concerning.
Meh, I'd say modern Western alienation is still a far cry away from the days of Reform and the CA.
Our lack of a functional upper chamber to promote regional interests is a driving factor there (it's why Reform used to have a hard on for a triple-E senate), in addition to insane party discipline that means provinces need to really swing for one party or another if they're going to influence federal policy.
Take on the English debate: Trudeau gave of an aura of mild panic the entire time, not a great night for him overall. O'Toole kinda just existed, definitely did a good job on hitting home the "moderate man" image. Singh made his rehearsed talking points seem natural enough, but beyond a few sound bites for the Toronto Star his arguments seemed mostly unsubstantive. Paul, likewise with O'Toole existed. Her jab at Trudeau being a "fake feminist" felt flat af. I'm not entirely confident Blanchet caught on to the "English" part of the debate.
Overall: anytime Trudeau opened his mouth shouting ensued, moderator asked unethically leading questions (especially the one on the QC secularism bill). Might hurt Trudeau a little, but no one gave a Mulroney or Layton worthy performance so it's probably inconsequential.