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Messages - Conway

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1
The Mess Hall / Re: How famous is the person above you? Mk. 2
« on: April 14, 2022, 09:45:37 pm »
toast

2
Did someone mention EU events?

3
Regiments (Game Clans) / Re: 41st New York Volunteer Infantry Regiment [NA]
« on: February 20, 2022, 08:42:40 pm »
I love that no matter how many times this group gets reformed Newlk never ends up as an officer.

4
No idea if this even still works but we found it boys.

https://www.mediafire.com/file/k75r3c6cj6sdujq/Sieg_Heil_pack_V_1.5.zip/file

Fun fact: when I logged in it automatically synced to my Research Assistant count, so there's a 50/50 chance I'm getting a concerned email from my prof next week if he checks the edit log. cheers

5

Lmao is that fucking thumbnail from that nazi mod pack I made?

6
Off Topic / Re: The General Political Thread
« on: September 22, 2021, 03:33:49 am »
Spoiler
Canadian election szn!

LPC started out with a decent chance of a majority but a week into the campaign they've not run a good one so far, while the CPC has rolled out some popular policy proposals

Latest projections have the Liberals winning another minority but with less seats - due in large part to a more competitive CPC than last time and a more stable NDP

Popular vote has tightened in the past few days with the CPC and LPC running at basically a dead heat

Bloc facing some serious questions in whether they can repeat last election's success in Quebec

Green party imploding and the PPC not a serious threat

Gonna be an interesting one! You can check out the polls and projections at 338canada.com
[close]
My overall prediction is a Lib min, Trudeau pulls a Mulroney and hands a shitfest to Freeland come next election. All other parties vapourize their leadership (Except for Bernier, who is gunned down by the dairy cartel).
Tory Syndrome here we come, the CPC is going back hard right.

7
Off Topic / Re: The General Political Thread
« on: September 11, 2021, 03:23:08 am »
Spoiler
Canadian election update:

Projections show it to be MAD close
Spoiler
[close]

Liberals stopped the bleeding but they lost some ground, English debates will make things clearer - but also people don't really watch the debates so idk

NDP still projected for a seat increase, they've done well

Bloc set to maintain their hold on rural QC, altho CPC looking to flip a few

Like all CDN elections, it'll come down to GTA toss-ups, key Atlantic seats, and BC suburbs

also I must say, Canada is frighteningly regional in its politics. Americans and Europeans complain about this as well generally but in CA it's kinda insane. CPC swept two whole provinces last election and managed merely opposition. Quebec, BC and the Maritimes are not too politically regionalized but in the rest of Canada geography essentially dictates voting intentions and that's frankly concerning.
[close]
Meh, I'd say modern Western alienation is still a far cry away from the days of Reform and the CA.

Our lack of a functional upper chamber to promote regional interests is a driving factor there (it's why Reform used to have a hard on for a triple-E senate), in addition to insane party discipline that means provinces need to really swing for one party or another if they're going to influence federal policy.

Take on the English debate: Trudeau gave of an aura of mild panic the entire time, not a great night for him overall. O'Toole kinda just existed, definitely did a good job on hitting home the "moderate man" image. Singh made his rehearsed talking points seem natural enough, but beyond a few sound bites for the Toronto Star his arguments seemed mostly unsubstantive. Paul, likewise with O'Toole existed. Her jab at Trudeau being a "fake feminist" felt flat af. I'm not entirely confident Blanchet caught on to the "English" part of the debate.

Overall: anytime Trudeau opened his mouth shouting ensued, moderator asked unethically leading questions (especially the one on the QC secularism bill). Might hurt Trudeau a little, but no one gave a Mulroney or Layton worthy performance so it's probably inconsequential.

8
Off Topic / Re: The General Political Thread
« on: August 27, 2021, 06:25:27 pm »
The sharia itself isn‘t defined but just a compilation of statements and instructions always left to be interpret. The Taliban do it in the most conservative way possible, something the majority does not agree with.

Anyway, the whole thing is totally lost and probably NATO‘s greatest defeat to this day. Plus - and this might be the only good thing we can possibly take from this debacle - after the last four turbulent years in the transatlantic alliance, we see once again that the United States simply aren’t fit for leadership anymore. Europe should finally take it‘s matters (and especially it‘s defense) into it‘s own hands and stop being so dependent.
It's not difficult to call Afghanistan NATO's greatest defeat when the three other wars were all victories. The U.S managed to remain fit for leadership after the categorically bigger defeat it faced in Vietnam. It doesn't follow that despite having a larger and more advanced military than ever, 22,000 casualties in a counter-insurgency over a 20 year period voids it's ability to protect it's allies.

Not certain what you mean by "turbulent last four years" in NATO. If by that you mean the Trump presidency, then your final recommendation for Europe to look to it's own defence basically aligns itself with his policy towards NATO.

9
Off Topic / Re: The General Political Thread
« on: August 26, 2021, 09:33:55 pm »
Spoiler
Spoiler
Canadian election szn!

LPC started out with a decent chance of a majority but a week into the campaign they've not run a good one so far, while the CPC has rolled out some popular policy proposals

Latest projections have the Liberals winning another minority but with less seats - due in large part to a more competitive CPC than last time and a more stable NDP

Popular vote has tightened in the past few days with the CPC and LPC running at basically a dead heat

Bloc facing some serious questions in whether they can repeat last election's success in Quebec

Green party imploding and the PPC not a serious threat

Gonna be an interesting one! You can check out the polls and projections at 338canada.com
voting bloc  8) f*** trudeau
[close]
Good man!

Spoiler
Spoiler
Canadian election szn!

LPC started out with a decent chance of a majority but a week into the campaign they've not run a good one so far, while the CPC has rolled out some popular policy proposals

Latest projections have the Liberals winning another minority but with less seats - due in large part to a more competitive CPC than last time and a more stable NDP

Popular vote has tightened in the past few days with the CPC and LPC running at basically a dead heat

Bloc facing some serious questions in whether they can repeat last election's success in Quebec

Green party imploding and the PPC not a serious threat

Gonna be an interesting one! You can check out the polls and projections at 338canada.com
[close]
I'd be weary of tracking polls using just 338, they absolutely botched the NS election, PC-NS had a 13% chance of a minority and wound up with a firm majority. They also had NL Libs winning a sweeping majority back in March, when in reality they gained a single seat (although the election being fucked up by the third wave of COVID may have factored in).

Tories have been doing a good job at marketing O'Toole for name recognition and he isn't as controversial as Scheer, if they can turn that into more BC, ATL, and GTA seats they may have a shot a a minority gov't. Had my man MacKay been leader I'd say that win would be a guarantee.

Only Liberal shot at a majority imo is if they can win Quebec and maybe a few urban seats out west.

The death of the Greens since May stepped down might return enough seats back to the NDP to keep Jagmeet around.

My overall prediction is a Lib min, Trudeau pulls a Mulroney and hands a shitfest to Freeland come next election. All other parties vapourize their leadership (Except for Bernier, who is gunned down by the dairy cartel).

[close]
Provincial elections are a shitshow to poll anyways. 338 got the last election almost perfectly and the polls he sources from are usually reliable so idk!

Speaking as someone who voted in the CPC leadership race, O'Toole was everyone's second or third choice - and I think that applies to Canadians in general as well. But he (and the party) are doing a fine job at both marketting him and running a sound campaign. CPC's always had ground game but policy and war rooming was always questionable, but this time they're leaving the ground game to the locals and focussing exclusively on marketting and war rooming and it's working. O'Toole has barely left Ottawa, which means he's fresh as hell, sees the trends before Trudeau, and isn't getting hammered on the road by op media. It's a strategy that will work best in courting suburban Ontario seats, I think.

Green collapse is funny. National media basically begged for them to be relevant for a decade, and after Lizzie couldn't get anything more than 2-3 seats, they're basically as effective as the PPC. Paul isn't even going to win her riding, by a lot!

If the CPC cut into the Liberal seat count in Ontario by like 5-10 and flip a couple seats in BC/ATL then O'Toole gets another shot tbh. Unless he does something stupid he's proven to be a better leader than Scheer, which will help his cause
[close]
Going to be interesting to see if the Greens return to their old strategy of trying to up their popular vote so they can receive funding. It was May who decided to focus on key seats over national support, she basically obliterated their grassroots framework and centralized control to her office. Gonna be interesting if they revert to their old system in the future. The fact that they're fighting for all but one seat and polling behind the BQ nationally is fucking hilarious.

Completely agree that O'Toole is doing far better than expected, makes me wonder if throwing out my membership card when he won and retreating to provincial politics was a sound choice :/ Unless they gain substantial seats however I doubt he'll be kept on, the Tory touch is still present: give the party a gov't or gtfo. Given his military experience I'd be interested to see how he handles the semi-ongoing shitfest in CAF leadership.


10
Off Topic / Re: The General Political Thread
« on: August 26, 2021, 03:11:08 am »
Spoiler
Canadian election szn!

LPC started out with a decent chance of a majority but a week into the campaign they've not run a good one so far, while the CPC has rolled out some popular policy proposals

Latest projections have the Liberals winning another minority but with less seats - due in large part to a more competitive CPC than last time and a more stable NDP

Popular vote has tightened in the past few days with the CPC and LPC running at basically a dead heat

Bloc facing some serious questions in whether they can repeat last election's success in Quebec

Green party imploding and the PPC not a serious threat

Gonna be an interesting one! You can check out the polls and projections at 338canada.com
[close]
I'd be weary of tracking polls using just 338, they absolutely botched the NS election, PC-NS had a 13% chance of a minority and wound up with a firm majority. They also had NL Libs winning a sweeping majority back in March, when in reality they gained a single seat (although the election being fucked up by the third wave of COVID may have factored in).

Tories have been doing a good job at marketing O'Toole for name recognition and he isn't as controversial as Scheer, if they can turn that into more BC, ATL, and GTA seats they may have a shot a a minority gov't. Had my man MacKay been leader I'd say that win would be a guarantee.

Only Liberal shot at a majority imo is if they can win Quebec and maybe a few urban seats out west.

The death of the Greens since May stepped down might return enough seats back to the NDP to keep Jagmeet around.

My overall prediction is a Lib min, Trudeau pulls a Mulroney and hands a shitfest to Freeland come next election. All other parties vapourize their leadership (Except for Bernier, who is gunned down by the dairy cartel).

11
Off Topic / Re: The General Political Thread
« on: June 30, 2021, 02:17:46 am »
Spoiler
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/hate-speech-bill-c36-1.6077606

Canada is fucked lmao I need out.

C-10 gave the government the power to regulate internet content including social media end users under the old Broadcasting Act (intended for old radio and TV broadcasts). now bill c-36 will give them the power to define what they consider to be hate speech on a whim and punish it with fines of up to $20,000 for first offense and $50,000 for subsequent offenses; using information pulled from ISP's, social media companies, etc. to faciliate.

people kept repeating that the Liberals aren't stupid enough to try to censor the internet even after they removed the provision exempting end users from Bill c-10, but now it's clear that that's exactly what they're doing - and of course they are citing the incident in London as proof that this is required even though the perpetrator had little to no online presence as far as police have determined
We place our hopes in the senate
[close]
Ngl as much as I like to shit on the dumpsterfire of US politics I'm starting to fear we're slipping behind in the healthy democracy game as well. Beyond bill C-10, parliamentary democracy has been in decline over the last two decades. It started with Harper but Trudeau has really solidified executive power into the PMO: unless he starts literally stabbing MP's neither his party nor cabinet are gonna check him. Not likely CPC leadership will reverse this trend.

tl;dr Canadian Party Leader's winning 38%+ of the popular vote have and will continue to have 100% executive and legislative powers... we're fucked.

12
The Mess Hall / Re: How famous is the person above you? Mk. 2
« on: June 13, 2021, 08:26:44 am »
No idea who anyone on this page is

13
Off Topic / Re: The General Political Thread
« on: April 16, 2021, 03:24:04 am »
Well done west. Apparently now accusing somebody of "racism" without ANY proof whatsoever (guilty until proven innocent) is more serious than a murder attempt and an assault.

Good job, let the terrorists from BLM get in control of everything. Common sense is no more!
If you're referring to the recent death of Daunte Wright conflating an armed robbery and assault charge with murder attempt seems a bit much. The officer who shot him hasn't been charged with a hate nor crime, nor has she been assumed guilty until proven innocent.

Civil society seems to think otherwise, but it seem more of a reaction to the general situation faced by black people with regards to police violence in the U.S, than an explicit hate crime in the instance of Wrights death. And while civil society may think the officer guilty until proven innocent, they don't enforce legal penalties, the judicial system does.

Aight I'm back to the shadows...

14
Regiments / Re: 36th (Herefordshire) Regiment of Foot [Recruiting][EU/NA]
« on: December 11, 2020, 07:16:38 am »
I enter quarantine in 3 days. I'll reform this bitch for a pack of 50 nic pods and a 2-4

EU's hiatus is over cunts

15
everyone saying how they liked the reg, but no one else liked enough to coup it like i did  :'(

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